Who saved the NHS?

‘Stay at home, protect the NHS, save lives.’ It’s a simple, understandable mantra, and we have internalised it well. So well, in fact, that we haven’t noticed the sleight of hand – desperate? cynical? – that’s going on here.

How didn’t we see it? The formula says it is our duty as citizens and patients to protect our NHS – and, by the way, the government will punish us if we don’t. But that’s the wrong way round. The NHS is supposed to protect us. Protecting the NHS, and us, is the government’s job, and if it fails to do it, we should punish it at the next election. (Whether the NHS is safe with this or that party is a question rightly posed at every vote.)

As it turns out, we have done our job of not using the NHS for the purpose for which it was designed so well that A&E departments are half empty, patients are politely declining to come forward for cancer diagnosis and ministers are reduced to acting like fairground barkers to drum up trade: ‘Roll up, roll up, we’re still open for business!’

As ever, crisis has brought the best out of the NHS, which has performed heroically with the resources at its disposal. In fact, though, the conventional image of doctors, nurses, porters and auxiliaries as saints and martyrs does them a disservice, obscuring a much more interesting reality. Under pressure the NHS is quietly doing things that it, and we, would have thought impossible a couple of months ago: partnering to build and equip hospitals in a week, redeploying and retraining staff, sharing work with the private sector, improvising procedures and equipment to keep, so far successfully, one step ahead of the flow of infections… Bureaucracy, what bureaucracy?

‘It’s impossible to overstate what has happened in the last two months,’ judges one observer. Of course, it has been a desperately close-run thing, and no one would want a re-run any time soon. But the imperative to do whatever it takes (to coin a phrase) to win a real-life game of life and death is being seen as a liberation for some NHS managers, who find themselves for once with control where it should be – in their own hands. ‘We can’t go back after this,’ one is quoted as saying.

Where the news is less good is at the point where help from the citizenry’s self-isolation from health services runs out – that is, in the supply of the basic equipment that allows our saints and martyrs to perform the heroics we rightly celebrate. Or not help much, compared with the need. But that is not for want of effort. Witness the countless stories of ‘small ships’ – small businesses, individuals and groups of volunteers pitching in to sew scrubs, gowns and even craft visors, some with ‘bleeding fingers’ at the end of the day; cooking free meals for NHS staff; providing transport to and from work; and putting up and feeding them at the end of their shifts. And what about the astonishing 750,000 volunteers who came forward to help the NHS at the beginning of the crisis, a phenomenon that has left the rest of the world marvelling?

Unfortunately, the one party missing from this spontaneous outbreak of inventiveness, collaboration and sense of common purpose is the one that matters most – the government. It’s a commonplace that the pandemic has made government and the state vital again, as the only entities with comprehensive national reach. Accordingly, although the fit isn’t perfect, the gruesome league table of covid mortality also looks like a pretty fair reflection of government competence. In general the countries that come out best are those in south-east Asia, Germany and Denmark in Europe, and New Zealand that acted in character and as might have been predicted – calmly, early and firmly.

At the other end of the scale, currently the worst outcomes are likely to be in the US and UK, both notable for fractured politics and a strong belief at the top that the state is just another interest group, and in their own exceptionalism – mercilessly skewered by Fintan O’Toole in the latter case (although he failed to mention that the virus itself had already done the same thing by putting the country’s prime minister, health secretary, and chief medical officer, not to mention No 10’s chief special adviser, out of action with covid19 all at the same time – a unique full house of haplessness). The Johnson team’s slow reaction to the spread of the disease, subsequent policy zigzags and implementation failures faithfully reproduce on fast-forward the distinctive shortcomings of British government over the decades, with an added layer of arrogance thrown in.

In this context, the delegation of responsibility for protecting the NHS to citizens is no surprise – it is the culmination of the series of ‘reversifications’ under which the dehumanising pressures of financialisation and targets have gradually turned processes, functions and whole institutions into their dark opposite – think the Home Office as department of alienation and hostility, welfare as punishment for poverty instead of a helping hand. Tellingly, while ministers learned enough from the financial crisis of 2008 to enact an instant bail-out of the economy, their lack of systemic social vision is leaving a trail of destructive unintended consequences behind its initial ‘protect-our-NHS’ call: the ‘collateral damage’ of extra deaths as ill patients shun A&E and cancer departments, the unfolding tragedy of care homes become killing fields (another reversification), and now the finding that people mystified by the government’s switch from herd immunity to strict lock-down will have to be cajoled out of their houses to ‘assert their inalienable right to go to the pub’ when restrictions are lifted.

Covid19 has ruthlessly exposed the hidden faultlines and contradictions in our society, and the lazy, self-serving economics and management thinking that first engineered and then ignored them for 40 years. When we come out of it, we will indeed remember those failings. But we will also take heart from the unforced collaborations, cooperation and solidarity emerging in the lockdown that reflect a more positive view of human nature – one that will form the basis of new and more realistic versions of that dried-up, pre-Darwinian thinking. It will have been us who have protected the NHS, not governments, and it’s the least that they owe us in return.

What coronavirus teaches about business

When the Global Peter Drucker Forum chose ‘business ecosystems’ as its theme for last November’s conference, it was met by some gentle scoffing. Bit airy-fairy? More fad than substance? Was ecosystem management even a thing?

Well, now we know. The coronavirus is not only a thing; manging its ecology and ecosystem is the biggest test of management, and leadership – which just happens to be the Drucker Forum theme for 2020 – the world has recently seen: greater than 9/11 and the 2008 financial crash, a matter of literal life and death for many thousands of people, and financial life or death for thousands, perhaps millions more.

Given this, it’s at first sight odd that political leaders have conspicuously not been beating a path to the doors of leadership and crisis-management ‘experts’ in business schools or large companies for their advice on facing down the virus. After all, business websites and blogs teem with strategies for managing in a world of volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity, or VUCA, as the military call it. And did I dream that Google and/or Facebook once boasted of being able to use information they had sucked out of their users to predict the spread of disease?

Yet at a second glance, the shunning of conventional management is understandable – the dirty secret is that it has significantly contributed to the weakness of the current global response. All too willingly coopted into the neoliberal economic consensus by the appeal to self interest in the 1970s, management has been the Trojan Horse that released a strain of free-market dogma into the economic and political mainstream that we’re all suffering from now. One of the side-effects is the willful self-fragilisation of some of our biggest corporations.

Thus the big US airlines that are now seeking a $58bn bailout have over the last decade spent roughly the same amount to buy back their own shares to the exclusive benefit of their own executives and stockholders. Boeing, the epitome of the ‘downsize and distribute’ approach to capital allocation, having donated $43bn to shareholders through buybacks between 2013 and 2019, now wants $60bn to prop up aviation-industry supply lines. Even mainstream commentators, such as the FT’s excellent Rana Foroohar, are suggesting that this time round it cannot be simply a case of socialising such firms’ losses – the price of a public bailout should include equity participation and ban on buybacks and executive bonuses until the debt is repaid – not to mention improvements for customers and employees.

Fragilisation is not confined to companies. The same ideological emphasis on markets and self-interest is a factor in the opioid crisis, the tax minimisation strategies of Big Tech that have seriously diminished the resources of national governments for any kind of public spending, and more insidiously so undermined the instruments and confidence of the administrative state that its ability to intervene is now desperately compromised. Together with the retreating state, the systematic application of competition and markets to the public sector has given us a decade of austerity reflected in the parlous states of US and UK safety nets, making the medium-term social and – irony – financial toll of COVID-19 much greater than it should have been. Is it fanciful to suggest that Johnson and Trump’s fanatical faith in laissez faire and small government is behind their naive exceptionalism and hands-off initial response to the coronavirus?

Lenin once remarked that ‘there are decades when nothing happens. And there are weeks when decades happen’. Decades are happening now, and one of the things that is collapsing before our eyes is the edifice of neo-liberal economic theory, whose equations are simply swept away by a pandemic that operates on a plane of rude physicality governed by medical and ecological laws. A similar thing is happening to management. In the context of a wider business ecosystem that is itself nested in the wider systems of the economy, society and the natural environment, the idea of a company as a standalone maximisation engine is an aberration. In an ecology, something that maximises itself is a cancer to be feared. Instead, the purpose of business is to play its part in optimising the whole, which means investing in the jobs and salaries without which the wheels of capitalism seize up – as is graphically illustrated by a coronavirus that keeps people at home and shuts economies down.

It became quickly clear in November’s Drucker Forum sessions that managing in ecosystems was as different as quantum to Newtonian physics. Previous certainties – indeed, the very idea of certainty – suddenly become suspect. Standard leadership strategies or lists of personal qualities are useless when everything is shifting around you. In a world where nothing is certain, leadership no longer makes any sense as an abstract ‘thing’, separate from what is being done. It is situational or nothing.

In those circumstances, what do you use as a guiderail when leading followers on a course that is as likely to be wrong as right? Again, coronavirus gives the clue. Consider luxury purveyor LVMH using perfume lines to turn out hand sanitisers; or Dyson designing ventilators rather than vacuum cleaners; ex-footballers turning over their hotel free to NHS staff; Amazon about to deliver testing kits; CEOs such as Danny Meyer of the Hospitality Group cutting executive salaries and foregoing his own to avoid laying off low-paid employees; engineering professors, PhDs and F1 racing teams around the UK collaborating on basic ventilator designs and breathing aids; and a staggering 750,000 individuals volunteering to help the beleaguered NHS. The list goes on.

Altruism, yes. But another way of describing it is people and companies self-organising to redirect their resources to solving problems that matter. It’s an ecosystem responding creatively and cooperatively to threat. Note the lengths people will go to when offered a good job to do. As Warren Bennis once put it: ‘Problem-solving is the task we evolved for – it gives us as much pleasure as sex’.

Although they have largely forgotten it, solving problems is what companies evolved for, too. For economists Eric Beinhocker and Nick Hanauer, ‘the accumulation of solutions to human problems’ is a better measure of progress and prosperity than GDP. It is access to more of those solutions – air-conditioning, the world’s information on a smartphone, a cure for COVID-19 – that is for its citizens the real difference between living in an advanced economy and a poorer one. In a functioning capitalist ecosystem, business creates solutions that benefit humanity, while also employing and paying people such that they can take advantage of those solutions for themselves.

In turn, that defines what leadership looks like in the VUCA world, wherever the volatility or uncertainty comes from: acting fast to deploy resources where they can contribute most to optimising the system of which they are part. In Peter Drucker’s famous distinction, that is doing the right thing, which is leadership, as opposed to management, which is doing things right. COVID-19 could hardly have pointed the way ahead more clearly.

RIP Jack Welch

Rarely can a passing have marked the end of a business era more aptly than that of Jack Welch. When the legendary CEO of GE, who died this week, retired in 2001, the giant company that he had shaped over 20 years was at the height of its fame and financial success. GE’s fabled management academy at Crotonville, where Welch often lectured, was a big part of it, a conveyor belt as efficient as any of its plants at turning out successful executives modeled on Welch’s hard-nosed, hard-driving style. Had not Welch’s unforgiving approach and uncanny ability to meet Wall Street’s quarterly earnings targets, earned him in 1999 the grandiose title of Fortune’s ‘manager of the century’?

Yet it it is now evident that 2000 was GE’s high point. Never has its reputation, or earning, touched those levels since. Its share price has dropped 80 per cent as Welch’s successors struggled to cope with the legacy of his push into financial services, which nearly sank the group in 2008. Net profits of $15bn as late as 2014 have vanished in three of the last four years, and in 2018 GE suffered the indignity of being dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average. It was the last surviving member of the original class of 1896.

Just as butal has been the collapse of GE’s management aura. Consider the careers of the post-Welch generation of leaders from GE’s proud leadership finishing school. Jim McNerney, one of the unsuccessful suitors in the contest for Welch’s old job in 2000, decamped to another famous company, 3M, which he left on its knees five years later. His next berth was at Boeing, where as its first CEO with a non-aviation background (he was also president and chairman), he took the decision to build the 737 Max-8, currently in the news for all the wrong reasons, rather than design a new airliner from scratch.The second spurned internal candidate, Bob Nardelli, left Home Depot, his new company, similarly weakened, alienating customers and long-serving workers with sweeping cost cuts and provoking shareholder ire with his outsize compensation package. As for GE itself, when insider Jeff Immelt’s ultimately unsatisfactory reign ended in 2016, the board turned to another internal candidate, John Flannery – before abruptly ousting him two years later and – oh ignominy – replacing him with GE’s first CEO from outside the company. The rout of GE management is complete.

In retrospect, for the period of his CEO-ship, GE and Welch were perfectly matched. Russ Ackoff once noted that one of capitalism’s dirtiest secrets is that ‘we are committed to a market economy at the national (macro) level and to a nonmarket, centrally planned, hierarchically managed (micro) economy within most corporations’. A centrally planned, shareholder-value-driven company – of which GE was the epiome – can only operate as a top-down hierarchy, because without line of sight to the actions needed to meet indirect corporate targets, employees have to be told what to do.

Only an imperial CEO like Welch could make the model work, up to a point, by relentlessly holding underlings to account for punishing plans and performance targets, and having no compunction about sacking people who fell foul of GE’s infamous forced ranking assessment system. He was equally ruthless in pursuit of efficiencies through job cuts (hence ‘Neutron Jack’), offshoring and selling off units that couldn’t make number one or two in their industry.

In truth, GE under Welch may have been about as well run as a large top-down corporate economy could be, as he pushed managers to break down silos and exhorted them to beat back competition from the far east. But he couldn’t escape the limitations of command and control. He railed for example at the bureaucracy of budgeting, which he castigated as ‘the bane of corporate America – it should never have existed’, but couldn’t get rid of; and complained that ‘the talents of our people are greatly underestimated and their skills are underutilised’. In neither case did he understand why. Unchecked, he overreached imperially in financial services (a poisoned legacy that helped to cripple his successors), in his botched attempt to take over Honeywell in 2000, and in his exorbitant material demands – a scandal that tarnished his reputation when it came to light in a subsequent messy divorce.

Looking back, you might say that Welch perfected the dinosaur just in time for evolution to sweep it into the dustbin of history. Shareholder primacy, as even Welch came to admit – although not before he had retired on its imperial proceeds – was ‘the dumbest thing in the world’, shareholder value being a result, not a cause. Immoderate personal gains are no longer viewed with indulgence. Most decisively, business has evolved: today’s emerging business ecosystems, fluid and constantly shifting, simply aren’t amenable to the detailed planning and control that were GE’s, and Welch’s, forte. Management has to evolve too.

Poigantly, one part of the old conglomerate that is conspicuouly thriving is GE Appliances, albeit under different parentage. In 2016 it was sold to the Chinese Haier group. Under its inventive chairman, Zhang Ruimin, Haier is in the process of transforming itself from a white goods manufacturer into a ‘major appliances ecosystem’ in which all its related products are linked into, for example, an ‘internet of food’ or an ‘internet of clothes’. Standalone products don’t cut it any more. ‘We all need to transform into ecosystem companies, or we won’t survive,’ Zhang says.

In 2018, GE Appliances announced plans to invest $465m in new US manufacturing and distribution facilities.

RIP, then, Jack Welch. RIP too – and not before time – an entire industrial management paradigm.

Reinventing welfare

Radical Help: How We Can Remake the Relationships Between us and Revolutionise the Welfare State, Hilary Cottam, Virago, 2018

Beyond Command and Control, John Seddon et al, Vanguard, 2019

The NHS is seizing up. Patients have to work nearly as hard as GPs do just to get a doctor’s appointment, and hospitals can’t cope. Elder and adult social care are unworthy of the name. Last year 25,000 people in the UK slept rough for at least one night, which is all you need to know about accessible housing and the homeless. As for benefits, Universal Credit, supposedly the answer to a fragmented system and the flagship of recent reform, is a multi-dimensional nightmare, an exorbitantly costly, semi-computerised cross between Kafka and Orwell that treats the poor as morally defective and a creates misery and despair rather than a platform for establishing a good life. In short, the UK’s welfare state is nothing of the kind. Far from providing a safety net to cushion a fall, it enmeshes the needy in a grim battle to prove they are poor or disabled enough to qualify for aid devised to maintain them at subsistence level and no more. The once pioneering, even revolutionary, institutions imagIned by Sir William Beveridge nearly a century ago are still an example to the world, but now a pitiful one of how not to do it.

As these two timely and welcome recent books reveal in their different ways, the failure behind the crisis is not primarily one of money (although austerity has brought things to a head by not only making life more difficult for those already needing help, but also tipping more people into poverty – the signature of an illfare not a welfare state). It is that, partly because of the advances made under the Beveridge settlement, the institutional framework established the best part of a century ago is no longer fit for purpose. As social entrepreneur and activist Hilary Cottam points out, Beveridge’s design was for an industrial age. The remedy for the five scourges he identified – disease, idleness, ignorance, squalor and want – was to build hospitals, houses, schools and factories that would fix them. People would proceed in linear fashion between them until retirement, which no one imagined would last longer than a few years.

Instead there has been a massive failure of the imagination – an ideologically learned inability to see beyond what is to envision what might be. It is ideological because the institutional prison we’re in isn’t the buildings Beveridge constructed but the linear, factory-style processes we use to order what goes on inside and particularly between them. It’s management, stupid.

As Cottam spells out it, the welfare state ‘has become a management state: an elaborate and expensive system of managing needs and their accompanying risks. Those of us who need care, who can’t find work, who are sick or less able are moved around as if in a game of pass-the-parcel: assessed, referred and then assessed again. Everyone suffers in a system where 80 per cent of the resource available must be spent on gate-keeping: on managing the queue, on referring individuals from service to service, on recording every interaction to ensure that no one is responsible for those who inevitably fall through the gaps.’

For the patient or citizen, much of this busy supply-side activity is pointless. As a result, whether in health, education, employment or well-being, the neediest is in every area become ‘permafrost’ – stuck blocks of humanity that the current system can’t shift and have no agency to do so for themselves. They are spectators of rather than active participants in their own lives. The buildings – schools, Jobcentres, hospitals – go through their allotted motions, but they no longer connect with the social currents outside. Beveridge’s wants still exist, but in different forms. Ironically, the severest case of ignorance, identified by both Cottam and Seddon, is the state, bereft of ideas for real reform and reduced to cutting costs and demanding more effort.

Cottam sets her narrative – the story of experiments in organising to help people deal with family life, growing up, finding good work, keeping healthy and ageing well – in the framework of Beveridge and his original institutional innovations to emphasize the pioneering heritage the UK should be building on. Encouragingly, but not surprisingly, since both authors think in systems terms, the principles she arrives at largely echo those Seddon has described in previous books: the goal of welfare is the good life (as defined by those living it), the means is helping people to help themselves (building capabilities and possibility), using the joined-up resources of society as a whole, based on relationships rather than transactions. In other words, treating people as humans.

She recognises the importance of measures (‘We cannot transition [to a better system] if we are held to account by metrics rooted in cultures and transactions that we need to leave behind’), and again like Seddon emphasizes that not only do people-centred welfare models cost less to deliver, they relocate you in a different, positive sum game. The knock-on effects of restoring a troubled family to stability, for example, are invisible and cumulative, reducing future demand on police, courts, education and hospital resources as well as social services, while often also creating a new source of community support into the bargain. Engagement is a function of help that works.

Each of Cottam’s experiments ‘can be seen as a response to the failure of a government department to command change through top-down edict’, she says. How and why top-down edicts fail and what to do about it is, as its title suggests, the subject of Seddon’s book (disclosure: I am proud to have helped edit it), which thus neatly complements Cottam’s. Seddon, whom perhaps we should describe as a management activist, locates the sources of the overbearing ‘management state’ in theories of control devised in the industrial era, which are now a serious brake on productivity as well as human feeling. They cause managers to measure and manage the wrong things – unit costs, activity, transactions, people – which tell them nothing about how well they are meeting their proper purpose and turn them into willing prey for purveyors of fads and fashionable tools that falsely promise to make the machine turn faster. Almost all the vast superstructure of management bureaucracy – a $3tr burden on the US alone, according to Gary Hamel – is attributable to add-ons such as risk, performance, culture, budget, and reputation management, which are not just useless, but actively lead performance astray. As examples, Seddon singles out for special attention Agile (what’s the use of doing it faster if it shouldn’t be done at all?), IT (what’s the use of digitising it etc), and, perhaps more surprisingly to some, HR.

HR departments, notes Seddon, are the indirect result of managers’ misplaced obsession with improving performance by managing people. But it’s the system that governs performance (or 95 per cent of it, according to W. Edwards Deming), not individual effort. ‘HR departments grew up to treat the unwelcome symptoms of command and control management and have steadily expanded as the symptoms got worse… Thus, having designed jobs that demoralise and disengage we set PR people to work on measuring the extent of demoralisation and/or [developing] methods to motivate or create engagement,’ Seddon writes. Most of these, notably incentive and appraisal, damage rather than boost performance. Instead HR should be insisting that systems are designed to give people the good jobs that ensure good jobs are done – in which case, you barely need something called ‘HR’ any more.

It is clear from both these books that you can’t get to the properly personalised forms of support that will underpin good lives, a better society and more productive economy from within today’s transactional, Gradgrind management paradigm. The two are simply incompatible. A switch to a new paradigm requires a tipping point. The appalling management behaviour on show at the top of the Home Office and the DWP suggests that there is still some way to go in that respect. But both these books are heartening confirmation that There Is An Alternative that is far better for those in need of help, for those who provide it and for the community as a whole even before you count the social and economic savings that result. And conceptually, it is not complicated. Humanity invented management, Seddon points out; and we can do it again. ‘Counterintuitively… productivity 2.0 isn’t about, scale, huge IT investment or automation. It’s about human beings working together to solve the problems of other human beings.’ These two books bring that future just a little bit nearer.

Universities challenged

A piece in the press about academic bullying caught my eye recently. This one was about Cambridge, but there was another about Oxford, and when I delved a bit, about universities generally. There seems to be a lot of it about, particularly, though not exclusively, of bullying by academics of administrative staff.

Now this struck me as odd. I know, and have known, a great many academics, and none of them is the bullying kind. Rather the reverse: although definite in their professional opinions, they are otherwise polite, well-brought up and if anything rather put upon themselves, being subjected to ever more bureaucratic measurement and performance management indignity. It’s hard to imagine them terrorising anyone. So what is going on?

We all know that real bullying exists – and what it looks like. On the one hand it’s Harvey Weinstein, Robert Maxwell and others of that ilk who instrumentalise power and use it brutally to get what they want, whether, money, sex or position, brooking no opposition. On the other, there is organised institutional harassment of the kind I wrote about a few weeks ago, as practised by France Telecom, and legally condemned as such, when it was doing its worst to ‘persuade’ 20,000 employees to move on in 007.

But although there are still unreconstructed individuals around, and some industries are less scrupulously managed than others – the film and music businesses, the City of London and retail come to mind, not to mention some newspapers – that kind of extreme behaviour is getting harder to get away with in the age of #MeToo and what we might call managerial correctness, the latter as it happens being particularly prevalent in universities.

Nor should bullying be confused with bad temper. We’ve all made stupid mistakes in our time and been ticked off, sometimes roundly, in return – with the result that one doesn’t make the same mistake again. Most newsrooms are not places that are easy to hide in. But people sometimes getting cross, or even raising their voices when urgent action is needed, is not the same as bullying.

What I suspect is happening in universities is more the indirect effect of bad management than direct oppression. As we know, bad management is depressingly common – more people leave their jobs to escape their immediate superior than for any other cause. A thinktank reported recently that fully one-third of UK jobs were of such low quality they were a danger to health. But poor interpersonal skills are only part of the story. More pervasively frustrating is the systemic growth of managerial bureaucracy.

New Public Management came late to the universities, but they have enthusiastically made up for lost time. British higher education is now subject to the full panoply of market disciplines: competition, audit, cost control, numerical targets and regulation (effectively government control under another name). In this quasi market, universities have the worst of both worlds, market discipline on the one hand but no effective autonomy on the other. For academics, this translates, to a degree unknown anywhere else in the world, into stringent performance management, continuous change initiatives and endlessly metastasizing forms of assessment – including mock assessment before the real one, assessment feedback afterwards, feedback on the feedback, and so on.

Now add in the huge expansion of management pay, and numbers, in a period when academic salaries marked time, and a raft of managerially correct attempts by HR functions to smooth over the friction points by sending faculty on mandatory courses on ‘coping with change’, introducing wellbeing and work-life balance programmes, or, still more futile, as at Cambridge, appointing fleets of work counsellors, conciliators and moderators – and it would be hard to imagine a richer compendium of counterproductive management practices, or a more toxic stew of misunderstanding and bad feeling as a result.

These symptoms are far from unique to tertiary education, of course. But universities present them in fairly extreme form, along with their unsurprising consequence – a pervasive resentment of management methods that as Peter Drucker once sighed, seem to have been designed to make it difficult for people to work: strenuous attempts to do the wrong thing righter, generating a profusion of bullshit jobs (perhaps as much as 60 per cent of the total) with ever more pretentious (and yet unmemorable) names, managing other people, the ‘clustering’ of professional services, numbers, targets, measures and other data – all parasitic on the real academic work of carrying out research and helping people to learn. No wonder the pot sometimes boils over into bad temper and raised voices. But while there is no excuse for systemically taking it out on junior staff, for senior managers to blame the mayhem caused by stupid management on others rather than themselves is insulting bad faith. The fault is theirs, and so is the remedy. It is to stop doing what Drucker labelled the summit of absurdity: appointing people to do more efficiently what shouldn’t be done at all.

An end to management entitlement?

Have we reached peak management hubris? Two very different events over Christmas suggest that the tide might at last be turning.

In a landmark judgement in France, on 20 December the telecoms company France Télécom (later to become Orange) and seven of its executives, including the CEO and HR director, were found guilty of ‘institutionalised mental harassment’ of employees. The offences took place from 2007 as the firm underwent a ‘forced-march’ transformation after privatisation that among other things aimed to shrink the 120-strong workforce by 22,000 and transfer 10,000 more.

The tribunal decided that their behaviour constituted a systematic campaign of destabilisation designed to create a climate of fear and insecurity to induce people to quit. Ploys included unreasonable work demands and arbitrary job transfers in which managers found themselves working in call centres and employees were shifted from one end of the country to another at a moment’s notice. Over a three-year period 19 memployees committed suicide, some of them explicitly blaming company policy; one woman jumped from a fifth-floor window in front of colleagues.

The ruling is important for a number of reasons, both positive – the definition of managerial abuse as a criminal offence – and negative – the arguments for the defence that the tribunal unceremoniously dismissed. All too predictably, the defendants argued that what happened wasn’t their fault. There was no alternative to retrenchment; there was never an official policy of harassment, unfortunate consequences being the result of individual psychological fragility or job inadequacy, or alternatively of excessive zeal on the part of middle managers (to whom the direct responsibility for getting rid of people was delegated); and in any case the tribunal had no business querying corporate strategy.

The court threw out all these defences. It wasn’t querying the ends of strategy, it declared, but rather abusive means to those ends that amounted to a deliberate and systematic attack on working conditions. For the same reason, TINA (‘there is no alternative’) was no defence, whether to top or middle managers who implemented the hostile climate.

And despite the craven attempt of the brass to hide behind their inferiors, the policy of harassment had clearly originated at the top – the abuse was management policy, ie institutional. Interestingly, the company immediately accepted the tribunal’s verdict, somewhat undermining the top three defendants’ decision to appeal.

In quite another neck of the woods, the resignation of Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg on Christmas Eve was the culmination of a story that contains almost every element of overweening management ambition and entitlement: a once-great manufacturer whose physical engineering was corrupted by the financial variety; where soaring share price and executive pay were dependent on extravagant stock buybacks that could have funded a brand new aircraft design instead of the cheaper compromise that became the ill-fated 737 Max; where warnings of worker overstretch and poor-quality outsourcing were ignored; where despite warning pilot training and software instruction were economised on to get aircraft into the air quickly; and where relations with the industry regulator became unhealthily cosy; all these being complicit in the two crashes that killed 346 people and resulted in the 737 Max’s unprecedented 10-months grounding that shows little current sign of coming to an end.

The sorry story was compounded by the company’s hamfisted response to the crashes, characterised by The Economist as ‘an ugly mixture of remorse, evasion and swagger’, which it initially attributed to pilot error. For the record, Muilenburg was paid around $70m for his 4.5 years tenure as CEO, with another $30 to $40m due as a golden parachute, something unfortunately unavailable to those in the doomed aircraft; while between 2013 and 2019, Boeing donated a whopping $43bn to shareholders through stock buybacks.

In their different ways, these are both fairly extreme cautionary tales about the perils of managing backwards. The first casualty of reverse-engineering the way to desired results – 22,000 job losses for France Télécom, share-price appreciation in the case of Boeing – is legitimate purpose. The more single-mindedly the foreordained results are pursued, the greater the distortion, and the more likely it is that the means become ends in themselves.

As I have observed before, the end point of this fiercely top-down process – little different in its essential elements from Soviet-style central planning – is means that so overwhelm the original ends or purposes that organisations become their own opposite. At France Télécom, the perversion of purpose turned HR into the persecutor rather than protector of the workforce, increasing the sum of human misery rather than workplace fulfillment. Something similar is happening at Boeing: an aircraft manufacturer whose own employees express doubts about their families using products they have helped to build is in deep trouble, to say the least.

More broadly, such organisations are a reversal, and a grim travesty, of the model of capitalism that capitalists like to present to the world. As entrepreneur Nick Hanauer explains in a TED talk, ‘capitalism is an evolutionary system in which prosperity emerges through a positive feedback loop between increasing amounts of innovation and increasing amounts of consumer demand’.

Both are obviously necessary; absent either one of them there is no system to produce anything. What today’s capitalists have wilfully erased is the link between the two – which is jobs, without which there are no income and no consumers to create the demand for the innovations that entrepreneurs boast of. ‘Only consumers can set in motion this virtual cycle of increasing demand and hiring. In this sense, an ordinary consumer is more of a job creator than a capitalist like me,’ Hanauer observes.

As well as facing specific charges of managerial abuse and product failure, then – the Justice Department having opened a criminal probe into the 737 Max crashes – companies like the old France Télécom and Boeing stand accused of sabotaging the virtual cycle that sustains market capitalism itself. This time, history may be less inclined to forgive them.

With that, a happy New Year!

Towards a new management paradigm – slowly

‘Management is in crisis’, summed up a senior Silicon Valley engineer at the end of the 12th Global Peter Drucker Forum in Vienna at the end of November. His starting point was Drucker’s famous dictum that the purpose of business is to create and keep a customer, that its major functions – the only ones that yield results – are marketing and innovation, and that everything else is cost.

He left unsaid Drucker’s wider assertions: that the economy is a ‘social ecology’ and business ‘an organ of society’, and that society ‘endows businesses with wealth-producing resources (e.g. capital and talent) in order to serve customers.’ Managers in turn are the ‘central resource’ of society, whose very survival depends on managers’ ‘competence, earnestness and values’. ‘What managers are doing is therefore of public concern.’

On all those counts, Drucker might have agreed with the ‘crisis’ verdict. In one forum session, chair and innovation specialist Curt Carlson, former head of SRI International, underlined that innovation, the wellspring of productivity, prosperity, jobs, wellbeing and greater resources for common and societal ends, had lost its way.

Although much effort was devoted to mapping and creating innovation clusters and ‘superclusters’ – another session estimated there were no less than 7,000 worldwide – overall innovation productivity today was dismal. Incubators have little effect and most venture capital firms lose money, with 95 per cent of gains accruing to 5 per cent of firms. Corporate innovation projects had little value. The need for a systematic approach to innovation is as urgent as ever.

In other words, too much of management creates cost rather than value – bullshit work, in fact. It is thus failing in its first duty, competent economic performance providing cost-effective solutions to society’s problems, together with jobs and pay. This transforms it from Drucker’s ‘constitutive organ’ assuring the healthy functioning of society to its constitutive problem, its failures in its central task of capital allocation largely responsible for today’s inequality, a generation of wage stagnation, a decade of crisis and austerity, the ever-intensifying climate emergency, and the social unrest spreading through large parts of the world.

Today’s exhibit #1 in this regard might be Boeing, a once proudly engineering-led firm whose management is facing serious allegations of at best negligence and at worst concealment of design short-cuts on its currently grounded 737 MAX 8 aircraft, at a time when it was paying out more than its entire profits to shareholders in dividends and stock buybacks, to the particular benefit of its own executives.

The theme of the Forum was ‘The power of business ecosystems’. Does this hold out the promise of a ‘new management paradigm…finally?’, as the closing session asked. Well, yes … and no. Several speakers deplored the bandying about of the word ‘ecosystem’ for its connotation of cool and up-t0-date, warning that it could easily become another concept trivialised and voided of meaning by overuse, and that is indeed a danger.

Yet while in the final session LBS’ Julian Birkinshaw urged listeners to get past the idea that some huge new idea is going to come along and change everything, he conceded that on the ground the practice of management was changing. ‘We are seeing a lot of experiments with new ways of working. It’s not only the Ali Babas, the Amazons and the Googles, but also a lot of traditional companies that are experimenting. It’s not just a story of digital innovation. It’s a story of new business imperatives, causing companies to do different things.’

Take the surge of management energy emanating from giant Chinese companies such as Haier and Ten-Cent, both represented at the Forum (with 90 attendees China also provided a significant portion of the audience, another new development).

Haier CEO Zhang Ruimin, an avid student of Peter Drucker, spoke impressively of using the group as a platform to empower thousands of micro-entrepreneurs not just economically but (quoting Kant) with dignity as ends in themselves rather than instruments of the company. In the belief that large companies had to become ecosystems to survive, it was busy creating an ‘internet of food’ and an ‘internet of clothes’ comprising many interconnected devices that would make customers a living part of the ecosystem rather than a party to a one-off transaction, as in the past. A sale was no longer a zero-sum game with a winner and loser, said Zhang; it signalled the start of a relationship with the customer, not the end. Haier was not aiming for a walled garden: ‘We want a rain-forest, with some deaths, but giving perpetual life.’

As Birkinshaw pointed out, the ‘Darwinian’ Chinese model, using internal markets to sort the good ideas from the bad, with no protection for infant enterprises expected or given from the top, contrasted strongly with companies such as Pixar and Tupperware that sought to foster the same ends of innovation and creativity through more traditional means such as nurturing, collaboration and the deliberate mitigation of power.

But although Birkinshaw didn’t mention it, to many, including me, the most inspiring and hopeful management model on show was that of Netherlands health organisation Buurtzorg, represented by founder Jos de Blok.

Buurtzorg is by now rightly well known – a nursing and care organisation that from a 4-member start has mushroomed into an organisation of 15,000 professionals covering much of the Netherlands, and has now spread to 25 other countries, including Scotland (introduced by one of this column’s subscribers) and Wales. It is patient-centred, based on self-managing teams, and delivers better care at 65 per cent of the cost of the conventional industrialised version. Blok calls its model ‘integrated simplicity’, and it is as interesting for what it doesn’t do as what it does.

Things Buurtzorg doesn’t do, explained Blok, include ‘management meetings, policy notes, strategic documents, year plans, HR strategies, and other useless things.’ It doesn’t budget, and there is no finance controller or HR department. Head office consists of 50 administrators, 20 coaches and two directors. There are no management ranks. On the other hand, Buurtzorg built its own IT system (which it sells to others) to support carers and on which they input their 10-minutes-a-day admin. Blok would like Buurtzorg to be ecosystem infrastructure for all Netherlands healthcare, and it has set up a health insurer to apply the same simple principles to the payer side. This surely is management as it should be: invisible, part of the work, helping people to do their job rather than the reverse, and demystified.

Interestingly, in his summing up, Birkinshaw acknowledged that behind the hype ecosystems were beginning to, ahem, disrupt academic as well as practical management work. Both communities had to face up to the idea that the value of a firm now resides as much in its in its network of relationships as in existing physical assets and resources. As Michael Jacobides, also of LBS, has explored, it’s hard for alpha male CEOs to accept that they now live in ‘eco- not ego-systems’, while academics have to get over their sunk investment in the assumption that the standalone firm is the unique unit of analysis. Bluntly, ecosystems put the theory of the firm up for grabs.

Finally, and ironically, ecosystems help explain just why the long-awaited new management paradigm won’t impose itself overnight. While many now accept that shareholder value maximisation was flawed in theory and disastrous in practice, it is held in place by a closely-knit ecosystem of vested interest – business schools that teach it, consultancies that preach and implement it, fund managers whose pay depends on it, private-equity, hedge-fund and activist outfits that ruthlessly practice it to make their billions, lobbyists and politicians in hock to it, and CEOs such as Jack Welch who are happy to denounce it as the ‘dumbest idea in the world’ – but only once their extravagant share options have vested and they are safely in retirement.

Next year’s Drucker Forum has the theme of ‘leadership everywhere’. Yes – and among its tasks working to dismantle the Berlin Wall of the old management paradigm will be as urgent as building the new.

The evolution of management

The theme of this year’s Global Peter Drucker Forum in November is ‘business ecosystems’. That might look suspiciously like a fad or fashion. But although not everyone has yet realised it, it is a depth-charge under current management convention. Briefly, by substituting a biological metaphor for the current mechanical, numbers-driven version, it puts the ‘man’, not to mention ‘woman’, back at the heart of management, gives the company back its role as the engine of social progress and changes its imperative from maximising its own returns to doing its best for the system as a whole.

It also, just as intriguingly, brings into play the idea of evolution. As in nature, business ecosystems – fluid networks, often cross-industry, of partly competing, partly cooperating companies that come together to supply customer ‘jobs to be done’ in novel ways – evolve, sometimes in unpredictable directions. They can’t be managed directly: they can only be nudged. But what they lose in controllability they gain in potential scope. At the launch of the first iPhone in 2007, Steve Jobs, ever the control freak, wanted to keep it as a walled garden and only reluctantly opened up the Apple Store to outside developers. But that was the spark that lit an explosion of innovation. Twelve years on, iPhone users can choose between 2m apps offered by 500,000 developers, to whom Apple shelled out $27bn last year. As well as its other firsts, Apple had invented the first modern platform ecosystem.

Some economists and management thinkers have toyed with the notion of evolution. Joseph Schumpeter saw ‘creative destruction’ as the evolutionary process that propelled the economy forward. In her monumental book on surveillance capitalism, Shoshana Zuboff portrays the latter as a chance mutation of capitalism hit upon by Google which from small beginnings has spread at breakneck speed and is now supported by an ever-expanding ecosystem of its own. Evolutionary psychologists like Nigel Nicholson at LBS have catalogued how modern management techniques systematically cut across the grain of human nature, which is one reason why so many workplaces are uncomfortable and dispiriting places to work.

Much more ambitious is the project of prominent evolutionary biologist David Sloan Wilson, who in a new book called This View of Life argues that all science should be informed by an ‘evolutionary worldview’ – that is, social sciences as well as biological ones (indeed, he insists that at bottom the social sciences are biological. The subtitle of his book is Completing the Darwinian Revolution; one of his chapters is ‘Policy as a Branch of Biology’).

For the author, neo-liberal economics is a relic of pre-Darwinian 19th century thinking about the nature of the universe, having more in common with religion than science. After all, the prescription ‘laissez faire’, or ‘hands off’, only makes sense if nature, or an economy, is harmonious and self-ordering, and human nature immutable – two propositions that have no scientific basis. Yet here is the source of the economists’ foundational idea of the invisible hand delivering public welfare from the doggedly self-interested behaviour of the individual.

In reality evolution, the nearest thing to a perpetual motion machine, is constantly throwing up mutations to be tested by natural selection. It is always on the move, for good or less good (eg the declining effectiveness of antibiotics). One of the adaptations that proved advantageous in early human life was the ability to combine forces in small groups to hunt large animals or later to plant crops and defend territory – a real evolutionary advance. In those groups, the individualistic behaviours that had benefited individuals became an evolutionary disadvantage. ‘If there is anything that evolution teaches us, it is that the pursuit of lower-level self-interest does not automatically benefit the common good,’ notes Wilson.

We are hard-wired to live in and find meaning in small groups (one reason why loneliness is so damaging). Hard-wiring evolves only slowly. But, to oversimplify, evolution has cleverly developed supplementary processes of cultural adaptation and learning that are efficient superchargers to the genetic variety. Cultural evolution explains the astonishing speed at which human societies have developed from isolated groups of savannah dwellers into ever-larger units – villages, cities, provinces, culminating in mega-nations such as China and the US, pan-national groupings such as the EU, and even prototype global organisations like the UN: all this in no more than 10,000 years, the blink of an eye in evolutionary terms. These are huge evolutionary shifts, each move to a higher level offering greater fruits of cooperation but requiring more sensitive forms of governance to reach them. They are all hard won, with many a backward step before the next stage is reached; and, as we observe all too clearly today, each is dismayingly vulnerable to disruption from outbreaks of crudely self-interested behaviour more appropriate to lower levels (Donald Trump, Boris Johnson).

Much the same processes can be observed at work in business and the economy. In an evolutionary worldview, today’s emerging business ecosystems represent an important evolutionary advance, equivalent to the move from single-cell to multicellular organisms in nature, or a federation of city states to a nation. But while their potential is huge – McKinsey sees one-third of world business subsumed into a dozen or so multi-trillion dollar ecosystems (mobility, health, education, etc) in 20 years’ time – they are also finely balanced and prone to unintended consequences. Old habits die hard; many will fail. Surveillance capitalism and the Mafia remind us that there is no harmonious natural order from which positive outcomes will automatically emerge: ecosystems need managing, and managing at a different level from the one from which they are descended.

The contours of a management fit for the purpose of guiding a complex evolution-driven ecosystem in which the health of the larger umit self-evidently is the thing that has to be maximised are only just becoming apparent – and they are dauntingly unlike those familiar to managers of today’s profit-maximising standalone corporation, simplistic by comparison. But the prize, says Wilson, is that if we know how to use it natural selection gives us a potent means of separating out the best means of reaching a chosen goal, and business, where between-group selection (or competition) is especially intense, is an ideal crucible (Wilson’s term) ‘for the cultural evolution of groups that work well in the present and adapt well in the face of environmental change’. In this way, the evolutionary worldview and ecosystems represent an unexpected opportunity to rectify some of the mistakes made at the previous level that have brought us to the edge of disaster, by consciously acting with the flow of evolution rather than against it. The stakes have never been higher.

The purpose of business isn’t for business to decide

The recent statement by the US Business Roundtable distancing itself from the shareholder primacy principle it has upheld for the last 20 years, is potentially a big deal – as was the one in 1997 by the same organisation that enshrined shareholder value as the overriding purpose of the corporation in the first place.

That the new one, signed by 181 corporate grandees including Apple’s Tim Cook, Morgan Stanley’s Jamie Dimon and Johnson & Johnson’s Alex Gorsky, commits signatories ‘to lead their companies for the benefit of all their stakeholders – customers, employees, suppliers, communities and shareholders’ – is of course encouraging (although as Stefan Stern notes in a post to the Drucker Forum, it should hardly be startling ‘to hear CEOs committing to “delivering value to our customers” or “compensating [employees] fairly” (not “paying them more”, we should note).’

All the same, forgive me for suspecting that the new change of heart will have less powerful effects than the last one, at least in the short term. After all, the 1997 statement preceded, and underwrote, the period of wild financialisation and deregulation that culminated in the collapse of Lehman Brothers, followed by the Great Financial Crash, a decade of austerity, and the outbreaks of populist revolt that have culminated in Donald Trump and Brexit today.

Yet there is no hint in the statement that the ‘fraying of the American dream’, in Dimon’s words, or any of its manifestations in inequality, precariousness or ill health, is directly due this terrible error; no hint of mea culpa that shareholder primacy has failed even in its own terms, benefiting only a tiny proportion of privileged investors – prominent among them, as economist Thomas Piketty pinpointed, a small cadre of ‘supermanagers’ whose pay packets have benefited in direct proportion to the number of jobs cut and R&D projects forsworn; nor that the same executives colluded in an extreme ideology which, in the words of Shoshana Zuboff in her monumental The Age of Surveillance Capital, of which more soon, reinterpreted the public corporation ‘as a costly error, and its long-standing reciprocities with customers and employees … as destructive violations of market efficiency’. The regime of shareholder value maximisation is so noxious to publicly-quoted companies that their numbers have halved on both sides of the Atlantic under its aegis, with the same reduction in the numbers they employ.

Unless there is real acknowledgement of the above, and where we actually are now, any ‘reform’ will be limited to lip service, reinforcing the suspicion that the Roundtable initiative is motivated above all by vested interest and the fear that unless it moves first, it risks facing something much more threatening in the future – Democratic presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren’s Accountable Capitalism Act, for instance, or Jeremy Corbyn’s ‘inclusive ownership fund’, which might be the UK equivalent.

Even if the signatories mean what they say, altering today’s course to make a real difference to people’s lives – which has to be the underlying aim – is not a small task. Just as Hayek, followed by Friedman, Jensen, Meckling and Fama did when they set the shareholder value movement in motion in the 1970s, it involves going back to the basics on which the entire edifice of modern management sits. In this case, it means asserting, contra Friedman, Jensen et al, and probably putting into statute, that shareholder’s don’t own companies, and directors and executives are therefore not their agents.

Next, it means reasserting – something blindingly apparent to everyone except the present generation of capitalists – the importance of jobs. The relative peace and stability of what the French call ‘les trente glorieuses’ – the three decades of economic growth and prosperity following World War II – was based on Zuboff’s ‘reciprocities’, and in particular acknowledgement of the simple truth articulated by Henry Ford when he doubled his workers’ wages: mass-production only works when it is part of a system that also creates mass-consumers to buy the product they have made.

During those years, well-paid jobs were the link that closed the circle between production and consumption, and inequality fell. Today, when so many transactions are non-monetary (the devil’s bargain of ‘free’ online products in return for ‘free’ personal data), that circle, already weakened by shareholder-value fundamentalism, has been well and truly broken. Mending it will not be easy, to say the least.

The final obstacle in the way of reform is the formidable ecosystem that has grown up around the prevailing wisdom. Shareholder primacy is taught in business schools, advised in consultancies and, most insidiously, a vast fund-management industry ironically competes for our custom, and gets paid, according to the same quarterly-returns measure that has locked the toxic dynamic in place across the whole economy. ‘As long as the music is playing, you’ve got to get up and dance,’ Citigroup’s Chuck Prince memorably told the FT just before the GFC broke. The fact that, unforgivably, 99 per cent of the media assumes that shareholder primacy is part of the natural order of things ensure that in the background the music is still playing away.

All that said – deep breath – it would be wrong to despair. If a few people with strong opinions and a plausible but erroneous theory could (let’s not mince words) change the course of economic history in the 1970s and 1980s, it can be done again with one that is right. It won’t be simple, and the result will look nothing like it did then – the world has moved on. But we have learned that there is no such thing as technological inevitability – technology is just a means to economic ends. We know more urgently than ever before that, as an ecologist once put it, ‘The economy is a wholly-owned subsidiary of the environment’. And we know that in a post politics-as-usual world, pressure from below can lead to surprising results. So let’s not be too grateful for the soothing words of the business great and good. The purpose of the corporation isn’t theirs to dispense as they please. The purpose of business is to improve and sustain the environment for the benefit of all its inhabitants, whether it likes it or not.