Davos blues

Time was when Davos was the throne-room of the new world order.

Once a year, the very rich and very powerful gravely gathered in the small Swiss town to celebrate the status quo. Everything was in its allotted place. If capitalism had triumphed, it was because, reversing the Marxist trope, it was inevitable.

If they, the very rich and very powerful, had climbed to the mountaintop, it was because they had understood and exploited the ineluctable laws of the market faster and more intuitively than anyone else. They were there because they had earned that privilege, and being there qualified them to pontificate not just about business but also about health, education, the social services and – why not? – government itself. Davos embodied business’s claim to govern the world.

What a difference a couple of years makes. It’s now startlingly clear that the global financial crisis wasn’t just a caesura in the steady upward path of progress. It was a juddering full stop marking the end of an era where for those who bothered to look, returns had been diminishing for decades.

In that light it is hard to overestimate the degree to which the Davos worldview now seems irrelevant – as passé as Dallas. The Washington consensus has gone in a puff of bad debt. The economies which most enthusiastically did as it said and opened themselves up to the borderless flows of capital are the ones in the deepest financial doodoo: Iceland and Ireland, separated only by a letter, most of all, with the storm clouds now squatting menacingly over the the static economies of the US and UK, while Greece and Portugal have been caught up in the squall. Meanwhile, powering ahead are the brics, particularly China, and other emerging economies, despite ramshackle institutions, enthusiastic corruption and political regimes ranging from the lacklustre to the thoroughly authoritarian. According to Davos, none of this could happen.

Everywhere what was solid is turning to air. The stunned silence of Western leaders as the Arab dictators they shored up for decades topple like dominoes says it all. Even politicians in (so far) peaceful western democracies look fearfully over their shoulders as, facilitated by social networks such as Twitter, protest ripples through not only the countries immediately affected by the crisis but also the previously somnolent UK and US (although perversely in the latter case the most vocal protests are those in favour of big business’s god-given right to bring down the world financial system free of government regulation). In France, the publishing sensation of the year has been a 22-page pamphlet written by a 93-year-old Resistance veteran called, untranslatably, ‘Indignez-vous!’, or ‘Get angry’, which calls for a return to the social values first articulated at the liberation in 1945. Many in France, and indeed the rest of old Europe, are prepared to take him at his word.

The intellectual foundations of Davos are crumbling – or more accurately have imploded – too. Economics, the standard bearer of the social sciences which has come to dominate all the others, is in disarray, and leading economists have lined up to twist the knife in the corpse. For Paul Samuelson, godfather of the profession and the first American Nobel economics laureate, the crunch shows ‘how utterly mistaken was the Milton Friedman notion that a market system can regulate itself.’

Alan Greenspan, himself perhaps the most influential Friedmanite of all, likewise accepts that the fundamental failure of enlightened self-interest in 2008 brings ‘the whole intellectual edifice’ of financial economics down with it. ‘Large swathes of economics are going to have to be rethought on the basis of what’s happened,’ concedes Larry Summers, Barack Obama’s top economic adviser, a sentiment echoed by LSE’s Willem Buiter, for whom the last 30 years of economic work represent a ‘costly waste of time and other resources’. Among a barrage of other criticisms, New York Times columnist and Nobel laureate Paul Krugman calls modern macroeconomics ‘spectacularly useless at best, and positively harmful at worst.’ In his entertaining and provocative Zombie Economics: How Dead Ideas Still Walk Among Us, the Australian economist John Quiggin forensically demonstrates how the crunch explodes the most cherished economic axioms – efficient markets, general equilibrium, trickle-down economics and the superiority of privatisation – and the policies based on them.

In short, sums up the Cambridge economist Ha-Joon Chang, ‘What we were told by the free-marketeers… was at best only partially true and at worst plain wrong’; even before the financial meltdown, he adds, ‘unbeknown to most people, free-market policies had resulted in slower growth, rising inequality and heightened instability’.

Davos, in short, is running on empty, although not everyone realises it. Most unreconstructed of all, since it has most to lose, is the complacent old guard of business, which with profits high and interest rates low has done pretty well out of the last two years. This is not the case on the academic side, where Umair Haque, with his coruscating blogs from Harvard Business School and freshly published The New Capitalist Manifesto, and veteran Michael Porter, author of a piece entitled ‘How to fix capitalism’ in Harvard Business Revew, have joined Gary Hamel and his allies in contesting the old order and attempting to articulate, at least partially, a new one. But in this context, the bankers’ pleas to be left to carry on business as usual, complete with bonuses, while they nod their heads sagely over the austerity visited on the rest of us, sound as much part of another time as Sky’s football presenters.

The new time, on the other hand, is being formulated not at Davos but on the new media like Twitter. ‘Egypt: the young desperately fighting for a better future. Davos: old rich dudes fighting savagely against it’, summed up Haque, the sharpest of the new business revolutionaries. Another aphorised: ‘It’s my fiduciary responsibility to max shareholder value’ is our ‘I was just following orders’. Davos’ epitaph in a tweet.

Why Apple will survive Steve Jobs

Tom Peters tweeted this week: ‘Predict Apple post-Jobs ‘ordinary’ within 15 years. The way of [corporate] nature.’

That’s the conventional view, and one I used to share.

Apple is a remarkable, indeed unique company. Not content with triggering the personal computer revolution with the Apple II and then the Mac back in 1984 (I had one of the first of those quaint beige sit-up-and-beg boxes in the country) it has also, since Jobs’ second coming in 1998, annexed the music industry and redefined mobile phones. Now, if you please, it is back to computers, where the iPad is biting deep into the PC market and has bodily wrenched the industry that it helped to created on to a new path.

No other company has successfully disrupted not just one but three major industries. Apple has defied convention in another respect. It has become the world’s most valuable technology company, and will probably this year become the most valuable company of any kind, not by pursuing volume à la Microsoft but by ‘doing a BMW’ – creating what are initially niche products that redefine and thus eventually become mainstream – in three different sectors. That takes some doing.

And how has it done it, exactly? If you believe the markets, which marked Apple down sharply the day after CEO Jobs announced another medical leave of absence (before marking it back up again on the back of record quarterly results), it’s all down to the company’s mercurial co-founder.

It’s certainly true that Jobs, perfectionist and ferocious taskmaster as he is, has been crucial in bringing Apple back from the brink and turning it into today’s supremely confident $316bn bundle of value.

But while he hasn’t left it an obvious sucessor (although chief operating officer Tim Cook is a more than competent deputy), in two important respects the company is no longer in thrall to Steve Jobs.

First, unlike many other firms, Apple knows what Apple can do. You know the joke about Jobs’ ‘reality distortion field’: his ability to dazzle, charm, and bully co-workers into believing that the impossible is not only possible but achievable tomorrow. Well, the joke is actually on the jokers: the Jobs RDF works. In his estimable Weird Ideas That Work, Stanford’s Bob Sutton notes that the best way to carry off really difficult stuff like innovation is to ‘decide to do something that will probably fail, then convince yourself and everyone else that success is certain’. In other words, use self-fulfilling prophecy as a management weapon. This is Jobs – and now Apple – to a T.

The secret of Apple’s systematic mastery of the RDF lies in turn in its greatest innovation. No, not the Mac, iPod, iPhone or iPad: but iTunes and its spiritual heirs, the App Stores.

What iTunes did was give the music business back to its customers. While the music majors were busy threatening their most ardent and knowledgeable consumers with legal action – rarely a winning long-term strategy – for file-sharing, Apple was making it ridiculously easy for the law-abiding majority to pull what they wanted from the great jukebox in the sky. Consuming music was no longer about paying large amounds of money for the cynical offerings that the labels pushed at them. It was about choice. It was also fun. You could browse, combine and play music in ways that you, not the producer, wanted. It was music for the rest of us.

The App Store pulls off a somewhat similar trick for hardware. More than a chunk of metal, glass and silicon your mobile phone has become much a part of you as a hand or arm. All human life is here. You can have an iStethoscope or a detailed map of Israeli settlements in Palestine, according to taste and profession. The iPhone has become iYou.

The iPhone App Store was about differentiation in a highly competitive market. In the case of the iPad, the App Store’s role is even more intriguing.

When Apple introduced its first mobile device, the Newton, in 1993, it had no idea what a tablet was for, and consumers had no way of telling it. Newton was a flop, a rotten Apple.

When it launched the iPad, Apple still had no idea what the function of a tablet was – but this time it didn’t need to, because there was an App Store pullulating with other people’s guesses and urgings for consumers to browse among. Let the consumer decide. The result: the iPad is a roaring success even without a killer app. It is a blank slate, as it were, on which anyone can write their desires. This chameleon character seems to be particularly reassuring to corporates; having consistently distrusted the Mac’s individualist, even maverick image, they are reportedly taking up the iPad in droves.

It is no surprise that Apple has just launched an App Store for the Mac. At one level what’s going on here – a powerful idea in its own right – is reducing friction: Apple differentiating itself by making it ever easier for buyers to identify with their purchases by making them an extension of themselves. More profoundly, though, as shown particularly by the iPad, Apple is capitalising on its customer relationships – and in the iTunes/AppStore model it has the mechanisms to do it over and over again.

Unlike almost all conventional companies, Apple is thus not a standard corporate dictatorship. Although certainly casting apprehensive glances over their shoulder towards their demanding boss, Apple employees are mostly, and rightly, facing towards their customers. Apple, in short, is an ‘outside-in’ organisation rather than just a top-down one – and Jobs’ sometimes unattractive control-freakery serves to enforce this orientation. That, not its CEO’s obsessive genius, is Apple’s greatest strength. In time it may be seen as Jobs’ most important and lasting legacy.

Masters no more?

It’s hard to know which is more unappealing: ministers ineffectually begging bankers to show ‘sensitivity’ in this year’s bonus round, or the bankers themselves, who like the aristocrats of the Ancien Régime show absolutely no sign of altering their behaviour one jot until they are forced to do so.

Now, I have no problem with workers being handsomely rewarded for corporate success. The conventional view that financial capital is the scarcest and most important corporate resource, and that financial investors are the only stakeholders that matter, is ideologically-inspired nonsense. It’s human capital and the accumulated know-how embodied in products and processes that are today’s source of competitive advantage, not raw financial clout. In this perspective, Nicholas Sarkozy’s rule of thumb that in a solidly profitable company, returns should go equally to employees, shareholders and future investment (due taxes having been paid, of course) sounds about right.

So what’s the issue with bankers? Actually there are two. The first, much neglected, is internal fairness, which appears to be much better correlated with firm performance than individual rewards. Income inequality within firms, just as in society as a whole, undermines solidarity and engagement; any effect of increased competition is nullified by decreased cooperation. As the past 30 years conclusively prove, trickle-down economics is a myth.

On the other hand, bonus systems such as John Lewis’s, that reward everyone after the event and equally (in proportion), have the opposite effect. By recognising the reality that corporate success (or failure) is a collective effort, not the work of one or two stars, they foster commitment and cooperation. Individual bonuses, especially large ones, have the perverse effect of making people think about the money, not the job. The best reward system, by contrast, is fair and generous enough that no one has to think about it at all, freeing people to concentrate on the object of the exercise, ie doing a good job.

The second issue is even more basic. Lesson 1 in Economics 101 is that in a competitive economy very high profits can’t exist for long, because they will attract new entrants to the industry who will compete the excess profits away. As the sainted Adam Smith put it: ‘On the contrary, it [the rate of profit] is naturally low in rich and high in poor countries; and it is always highest in the countries which are going fastest to ruin.’

The obvious inference is the right one. Banking is not efficient, in economic terms. In fact it is profoundly inefficient. To put it more colourfully, as Tony Hilton did in the Evening Standard, the City of London and Wall Street are the biggest market failures of all time. There is no incentive to keep costs down (Merrill Lynch’s John Thain reportedly spent $1.2 million on office decorations and paid his driver $230,000 a year) – and perversely, more onerous regulation just protects the current oligopoly (and its profits) by making it harder for upstarts to break in and shake things up. Meanwhile, the size of the rewards on offer for just one large deal means that individuals are no longer subject to the reputational discipline of the past. When deal participants need never work again, the old City boast that ‘my word is my bond’ becomes irrelevant.

The situation is made still worse by the ‘too big to fail’ syndrome. As Justin Fox pointed out in a perceptive HBR blog recently, the increasing returns to work in finance were for a long time justified as rewards for creating alpha. In light of the global financial crisis, that claim provokes hollow laughter. Instead, writes Fox, ‘it seems more likely that the combination of massive risk-taking in the financial sector and government backstops and bailouts when those bets go bad has created a situation where financial sector pay is kept artificially high’.

How high? About 40 per cent, according to academic work quoted by Fox that compares financial-sector pay packets with those of other professions where people had similar skills. Note that that’s for the financial sector as a whole; in the more rarefied reaches of Wall Street and the City those percentages would be astronomically higher. Hardly surprising, then, if you can hear ‘a giant sucking sound’ (Fox’s term) as these purlieus ‘hoover up the smart and self-interested’ – among whom figure plenty of out-of-office politicians, whose presence among the snouts in the trough perhaps helps explain the strange reluctance to enact reforms that would reduce finance’s unhealthy dominance, cut bonuses down to size and respond to voters’ concern all at the same time.

In one sense, the bankers’ heel-digging is logical. In their eyes they really are Masters of the Universe, so why wouldn’t they expect to be paid as such? To the rest of us, they look more like the callow Sorcerer’s Apprentice, whose pretensions to power far outstripped his ability to use it, resulting eventually in a bail-out by his master. To prevent the servant getting ideas above his station again, the banks have to be broken up, with no connections allowed between narrow utility banks, protected and guaranteed, and their casino offspring. The investment banks, too, as a useful article (you may need a subscription) by Seth Mallaby in the Financial Times points out, are riven with conflict and should ideally also be split up.

Crucially, making them small enough to fail would remove the implicit incentive for overexuberant risk-taking. Together with a Tobin tax on transactions and a requirement to subject financial innovations to pharma-style safety testing, these measures would drastically reduce the subsidised profitability of the financial sector and slash the size of the bonus pot available. Yes, short-term tax receipts would suffer; but that loss would be vastly outweighed by the benefits of a better-balanced economy, greatly reduced systemic risk and an end to that horrible sucking sound.

Of management and the weather

Although it’s not man-made, unlike the financial hurricane that ripped through the world two years ago, the extreme weather conditions of the last six weeks, and the subsequent orgy of blame and recrimination, provide some timely management food for thought for both individuals and institutions.

Thus, terrorists and plotters everywhere, eat your heart out. It doesn’t take bombs or sophisticated conspiracy to unhinge our our ultra-managed, protected, securitised, organised and information-swamped environment and throw it into panic. It takes rain and snow. Our antediluvian grandparents would have been astonished. They were profoundly undismayed by the idea that each year they might suffer temporary inconvenience from cold, wind, and precipitation. They got in extra provisions, stocked candles, and wore warm clothes. They even had a name for it: winter. They would have understood the sentiment, if not the language, of the twitterer who wrote at the height of the crisis: ‘Caught short by the snow? Confined to barracks? Buy a f****** shovel.’

As ever, the reaction for such natural ‘disasters’ is to look for culprits and resolve that it will never happen again. Why weren’t we told? Whose fault is it? Who’s going to pay/resign/say sorry? Hence the tidal wave of retrospective regulation slamming the door after the horse has bolted. Not only that: by reinforcing the belief that natural causes can be managed away it perversely and tragically undermines the individual resilience that our grandparents knew to be the only sensible and proportionate response.

At institutional level too the weather raises some important questions about long-term issues of economic management – issues that have been long brushed under the carpet of conventional wisdom. Could it be that the winter of 2010-2011 will come to mark the full stop at the end of the era of privatisation?

In his excellent Zombie Economics: How Dead Ideas Still Walk Among Us (of which more on another occasion), John Quiggin nails privatisation as of one of the undead: an idea whose substance has been sucked away by the global financial crash but whose empty husk lingers spectrally on.

Who’d have thought even a few years ago that such capitalist icons as Bank of America, General Motors, Royal Bank of Scotland and Citigroup would find now themselves in public ownership? Of course, these will almost certainly be temporary public enterprises. But in truth privatisation has been in retreat for years. It’s not just that that there has been a steady stream of individual renationalisations: Railtrack and London Underground in the UK, rail and the national airline in New Zealand, broadband in Australia, health (controversially) in the US, not counting the crash casualties for which the public sector has turned out to be a literal lifeline. It’s that its underlying pretensions to efficiency and public benefit are increasingly revealed as threadbare.

Quiggin, an economist, notes that despite the strident free-market rhetoric, empirical evidence on the effects of privatisation is both rare and ‘decidedly mixed’. Some privatisations, as in Russia, were organised banditry. When Quiggin looked at selloffs in Australia, he concluded that the only ones yielding the government a net fiscal gain were those that took place in a bubble, with the result that they were later resold at a loss. In most cases, he says, ‘there was a net fiscal loss from privatisation’, with no offsetting benefits to workers or consumers, implying that there was also a net social loss.

You don’t have to be a revolutionary to note that what the theory suggests, this winter’s snow and ice made bleeding obvious. As FT columnist and deputy editor Philip Stephens wrote recently, the shambolic events at Heathrow before Christmas exposed, not for the first time, an increasingly evident truth – ‘a culture of private ownership, financial engineering and short-term financial reporting that militates against long-term investment in major infrastructure’. In the same newspaper, John Kay, another economist, agreed: ‘Highly geared businesses are not suited to the long horizons needed for airport planning’ – or indeed other infrastructure projects, which is why the UK’s railway system too is such a mess.

Stephens called for Heathrow to be nationalised, or at least turned over to London mayor Boris Johnson. Meanwhile, writing in Libération, an observer of similar events in Paris noted that his abiding memory of the episode was of EDF (Electricité de France) engineers behaving like real public servants: working all night without a break in freezing rain to get the lines back up again.

The lessons of the coldest winter and the iciest financial climate for the best part of 100 years thus converge at the same perhaps unexpected point. The unmanaged market is a recipe for disaster. What is needed is a system that is actively mediated by the government, in which individuals, private companies and the state all have a complementary part to play. The boundaries between them are permeable and shift over time, but none can thrive exclusively of the others. As Quiggin notes, this is not a compromise between free markets and socialism: unlike the vapid offerings of Tony Blair and Bill Clinton in the 1990s or David Cameron, it is a real Third Way that free-market ideologies made it previously impossible to envision.

Happy New Year. And let’s hope the weather improves.

There’s no such thing as an ethical business. Discuss

Of course there’s such thing as an ethical business. There are plenty of organisations that have at their heart the idea that business is not just a vehicle for making profits but a force for the broader good: John Lewis and the coops, social enterprises, Fairtrade firms; even in the US there are companies like Whole Foods Markets, 7th Generation and others that as well as believing wholeheartedly in capitalism believe in doing the right thing too.

Lots of these companies are extremely successful too (although that’s not and shouldn’t be the rationale for being ethical. Remember the saying of Archbishop Whateley: ‘Honesty is the best policy. But he who says so is not an honest man’). And why shouldn’t they be successful? The truth, I’ve come to believe, is that it’s not what you know (or think you know) about business that’s crucial to business success: it’s knowing what you believe in and what you want to do strongly enough to make your own rules – and that includes being ethical or indeed being non-ethical.

So how come the myth has grown up that business can’t be ethical? Put crudely, in the 1970s-1980s there was an ideological hijack of the business orthodoxy by an unlikely and opportunistic alliance of corporate raiders and business schools. Each had their own reasons for formulating a kind of free-market fundamentalism to which the returns have steadily declined and now turned negative, as witness the series of scandals that culminated in 2008 in the banking crisis – which, let me remind you, was the result not of impersonal economic forces but mistaken, venal, greed-motivated decisions by human beings, managers, at the top of large financial firms.

Of course, there has always been a tension between what you might call a light side and a dark side of business: Quakers on one hand, robber barons on the other. But it is only in the last 30 years that a single dogmatic orthodoxy has hogged all the speaking roles, drowned out the counter-examples that I’ve mentioned above and turned business officially and explicity into a morals-free zone. That orthodoxy is the doctrine that the purpose of business is maximising returns to shareholders. After some initial resistance, the original gang of two promoters was quickly joined by top managers who instantly saw that far from being a threat managing for shareholder value could be very much in their interests too. Articulated by three powerful interest groups, the mantra ‘no ethics please, we’re businessmen’ was locked in place by corporate governance codes for which by the way there is no empirical evidence that I know of that they make business more successful and some that they make it worse.

As we have experienced, morals-free business is a disaster – but it’s also based on an egregious legal fallacy. It turns out – I’m quoting here – ‘[after a systematic analysis of a century’s worth of legal theory and precedent] that the law [is] surprisingly clear […]. Shareholders do not own the corporation, which is an autonomous legal person. What’s more, even when directors go against shareholder wishes […] courts side with directors the vast majority of the time…

‘And yet, in a 2007 article in the Journal of Business Ethics, 31/34 directors surveyed… said they’d cut down a mature forest or release a dangerous, unregulated toxin into the environment in order to increase profits. Whatever they could legally do to maximise shareholder wealth, they believed it was their duty to do so.’

This, says the article I’m quoting from, is plain wrong. Directors are being taught the wrong things, with the result that they simply don’t know what their legal duties are. Hence the tragic irony of innovative, proudly ethical Quaker companies like Cadbury, which campaigned against slavery and alcoholism and food adulteration, and Friends’ Provident and Barclays – did you know Barclays was orginally Quaker? – setting aside their ethical principles in the mistaken belief that they have to privilege stockholders above all the rest, and suffering the terrible consequences that we’ve seen.

Now a test: where do you think the text that I quoted comes from? No, not Marxism Today or New Left Review, or even the Observer. It appeared in that revolutionary organ Harvard Business Review – and while that sinks in, consider something else that I read in HBR a couple of months later: shareholders have not done better under shareholder capitalism, in fact they have done worse, than they did in the previous three decades from the end of the war to the late 1970s when managers and directors commonly believed they owed something to employees and society as a whole, not just the stockholders.

There are plenty of reasons for that, and I won’t elaborate on them here. But the point is that there’s no argument even in shareholder capitalism’s own terms for not behaving ethically; and very many arguments for, the biggest one being that if capitalism isn’t underpinned by an internal commitment to bettering society rather than just oneself then no amount of external regulation will prevent more and worse crashes in the future, and this one’s quite bad enough, thank you. Let me end with a quote from Peter Drucker, as relevant now as when he wrote it in 1954: ‘Free enterprise cannot be justified as being good for business. It can be justified only as being good for society’.

Text of a talk given at The Foundation on 29 November 2010

A Jilted Generation?

Oh, how I wanted to hate this book.* That grating note of injured victimhood: the very title sets your teeth on edge. Yet another attack on the baby boomers. As if it was their fault they were born in the explosion of fertility that followed the most horrific war in history – in which many of them lost family and almost everyone someone or something precious. As for the optimistic aspirations of the 1960s – at least they had some. And guilt at having (eventually) bought houses and signed up (the lucky ones) for pensions? Grow up, get a life, get a job!

By the time I finished Ed Howker and Shiv Malik’s book, I was still boiling – but not at them. I still think the baby boomer angle is sensationalist and unhelpful: generations are too slippery to be useful units of analysis, let alone blame (as one cross friend said to me on his 46th birthday: ‘What about us? Our parents are going to live to 100, and our kids are still at home because they can’t get jobs or houses!’).

Above all aiming at their grandparents deflects attention from the real culprit – which the thrust of their case makes abundantly clear. What they eloquently trace is the consequences of a breathtakingly foolhardy 30-year (not 60-year) experiment in dismantling the state and individualising responsibility that has led straight to the debt crisis we face today.

As the authors note, this was a deliberate political project. Dazzled by the hard-edged arguments of Chicago monetarists, Margaret Thatcher (who hated the baby boomers) and co-ideologues in subsequent governments acted out the belief that the state wasn’t just inefficient: it was hostile to the individual. In this view, public service was an oxymoron, public employees of all kinds pursuing their own interests at the expense of those of citizens (think Yes, Minister). Since the latter could be relied on to know what they wanted, the argument ran, let’s get rid of the former and allow the marketplace – an instant information processor, in contrast to the hopelessly clumsy proceses of democracy – to coordinate needs and provision without bureaucratic interference. Even better: since markets are efficient and tastes constant, there was little need to plan for the future at all!

In a wealth of charts and tables, Howker and Malik lay out the price of this institutionalised short-termism for three things that matter most to young adults: jobs, housing and inheritance. These chapters are urgent, surprising and enraging. They show how at every turn human beings pirouette around rigid economic theory as effortlessly as foreign footballers past dim English defenders. In housing, they demonstrate how the great council-house sell-off and deregulation have bequeathed us a housing stock and tenancy regime (respectively poky, expensive and insecure) that meet the needs of buy-to-let investors but not those of young adults wanting a home. In jobs, the dropping of full employment as a political goal has been just as counterproductive. Far from being a consequence of Labour welfarism, the ‘benefits explosion’ that George Osborne is now trying to rein in is the direct result of Thatcherite deregulation – the counterpart to rising unemployment and, even more striking, a race to the bottom in employment in which more and jobs, particularly for young people, are so badly paid that they have to be supplemented by handouts from the state. Subsidising skinflint employers now accounts for a large part of the £90bn benefits budget.

As the book shows, abandoning collective responsibility for the future had other dire consequences, notably the crumbling of the apprenticeship system and the casual shrugging off, still proceeding, of pension obligations (let alone career). Free university education went the same way. Paradoxically, Conservative and New Labour governments that lectured the 1960s generation so sternly about living within today’s means were being as profligate with tomorrow’s as a flash City trader on his third bottle of Bolly. Unlike Norway, which quaintly funnelled North Sea oil revenue into a sovereign wealth fund for collective benefit, we blew it. Likewise the £60 bn proceeds of privatisation. And no, as our authors point out, the unleashed private sector proved no better at investment than the public, chief executives quickly twigging that the simplest way to win City kudos (and lavish bonuses) was to slash investment, research and jobs. Meanwhile, like a desperate gambler, governments have thrown around off-balance-sheet IOUs like confetti. Through the PFI, capital projects worth £56bn will end up costing £267bn.

Labour Treasury chief secretary Liam Byrne’s cheeky note to his coalition successor that the cupboard was bare was no joke. There’s nothing left to sell or pawn. Howker and Malik are right to dig through that flippancy to expose how successive governments have bet (and lost) the farm on a barren economic formula. This month’s savage cuts are payback not just for bankers, but for three decades of voodoo economics. We should applaud their forensic skill in exposing the rarely discussed assumptions than have led us where we are, and in setting out the consequences in concrete terms. Perhaps not surprisingly, they are less convincing in putting forward remedies, however. It will certainly take more than the mild doses of social enterprise and employee ownership that the authors suggest.

Yet it defies belief that that a nation with Britain’s resources should be going backwards in terms of simple basics that matter most to most people. To change that, it’s not the fringe manifestations of capitalism that have to shift, but the brutal and unrealistic economic credo at its heart. Putting forward a political programme that does that is the real challenge for the jilted generation – and one that the baby boomers, forgiving the brickbats, will support all the way.

* Jilted Generation: How Britain has Bankrupted its Youth, Ed Howker and Shiv Mali, Icon Books: London 2010